Aegean Intelligence Group
AEGEAN INTELLIGENCE GROUPAEIG-WEB-PORTAL-v1.0 · THE INTELLIGENCE PORTAL · 2026
INTELLIGENCE / CATALOG

Intelligence catalog

Every report, forecast, dataset, indicator and desk in the firm’s public intelligence record.

indexed objects
records
ObjectTypeDeskState / valueUpdated
INTELLIGENCE · THE PORTAL

Everything the firm publishes, watches and scores, in one place.

Aegean Intelligence Group is a small open-source intelligence firm. It publishes research on political, security, market and supply-chain risk, writes down what it expects to happen with a probability attached, and keeps score in public when the outcome is known. This page is the front door to all of it: every report on the register, every claim on the ledger, every data series the Dashboard watches, every downloadable dataset, and the six desks that keep the watch. Each object has a page, a stable identifier, and links to everything connected to it.

02 · THE TEN MOST RECENT OBJECTS
  1. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-SAN-OFAC-DELTAOFAC SDN list, daily deltaPolitical Risk & Governance
  2. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-WTIWTI CrudeEconomic & Financial Markets
  3. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-VIXVIXEconomic & Financial Markets
  4. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-NATGASNatural GasEconomic & Financial Markets
  5. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-GOLDGoldEconomic & Financial Markets
  6. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-DXYUS Dollar IndexEconomic & Financial Markets
  7. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-COPPERCopperEconomic & Financial Markets
  8. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-BRENTBrent CrudeEconomic & Financial Markets
  9. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-16EWI#16 Flood / drought disaster declarationsInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  10. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-15EWI#15 Volcanic / ashfall aviation alertsInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
03 · THE REGISTER BY DESK AND TYPE

The counts move when something is filed, and they are the proof of life.

Each cell links to the objects it counts. A zero is a zero: the firm publishes the size of its record rather than describing it.

04 · WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

The next Letter, The October Letter, publishes on 6 October 2026. Subscribe or read the archive.

The next claim on the ledger resolves by 16 September 2026 (4 claims settle that day); the Scorecard records the outcome against a dated public source.

The collectors last ran at 11:04 UTC on 11 September 2026, with 8 of 10 feeds live; the Dashboard says which are not and why.

06 · THE FULL REGISTER

Every object the Portal holds, newest first within each type.

Reports (30)

  1. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-SCL-26-001Panama's Second DroughtSupply Chain & Logistics
  2. 2026-09-11RIBAIG-RIB-26-001Sixty Votes, One Honest UnknownEconomic & Financial Markets
  3. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-MIN-26-004Forty-Seven Days to November 10Mining & Manufacturing
  4. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-GOV-26-006Three Percent on PaperPolitical Risk & Governance
  5. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-GOV-26-005After the DumaPolitical Risk & Governance
  6. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-ECO-26-002The First Warsh Hike?Economic & Financial Markets
  7. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-ECO-26-001Hiking Into a Supply ShockEconomic & Financial Markets
  8. 2026-09-11ReportAIG-DEF-26-008The Lead Agency RuleDefense & Security
  9. 2026-09-10ReportAIG-DEF-26-007Feedstock Before FirepowerDefense & Security
  10. 2026-09-10ReportAIG-DEF-26-006The Rearmament LedgerDefense & Security
  11. 2026-08-03ReportAIG-MUN-26-001The September LetterEconomic & Financial Markets
  12. 2026-07-16ReportAIG-GOV-26-004The Field Before the RFPPolitical Risk & Governance
  13. 2026-07-14ReportAIG-DEF-26-004The Footprint Before the ThreatDefense & Security
  14. 2026-07-09ReportAIG-FWD-26-001The Forward Benchmark, Tranche 1All desks
  15. 2026-07-08ReportAIG-MIN-26-003The Rare-Earth MidstreamMining & Manufacturing
  16. 2026-06-19ReportAIG-GOV-26-003Who Owns the Risk?Political Risk & Governance
  17. 2026-06-19ReportAIG-DEF-26-003The Authority GapDefense & Security
  18. 2026-06-19ReportAIG-DEF-26-002The Protection PremiumDefense & Security
  19. 2026-06-16ReportAIG-GOV-26-002Venezuela After MaduroPolitical Risk & Governance
  20. 2026-06-03ReportAIG-MIN-26-002The Critical Mineral Export Control StackMining & Manufacturing
  21. 2026-06-03ReportAIG-MAR-26-002The Attribution GapSupply Chain & Logistics
  22. 2026-06-03ReportAIG-GOV-26-001Resource Nationalism Wave 3.0Political Risk & Governance
  23. 2026-06-03ReportAIG-DEF-26-001The Western Munitions BottleneckDefense & Security
  24. 2026-06-03ReportAIG-BLK-26-002The Tokenised Treasury MigrationEconomic & Financial Markets
  25. 2026-06-03ReportAIG-BLK-26-001Stablecoin Treasury LinkageEconomic & Financial Markets
  26. 2026-06-01ReportAIG-MAR-26-001The Re-Priced CorridorSupply Chain & Logistics
  27. 2026-05-26ReportAIG-MIN-26-001Critical Minerals Under PressureMining & Manufacturing
  28. 2026-05-26ReportAIG-INS-26-003The Ground Underneath the MapInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  29. 2026-05-26ReportAIG-INS-26-002The Uninsurable FrontierInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  30. 2026-05-26ReportAIG-INS-26-001When the Models Met RealityInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk

Claims (77)

  1. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-284The maximum authorised draft in the Neopanamax locks of the Panama Canal, in tropical fresh water, in effect on 15 February 2027, measured in feet.locked · closes 2027-02-16Supply Chain & Logistics
  2. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-283The Panama Canal Authority publishes an Advisory to Shipping, effective on or before 31 October 2026, that either implements a maximum authorised Neopanamax draft of 47.5 ft (14.48 m) or lower, or reduces total daily booking slots below 32.locked · closes 2026-11-03Supply Chain & Logistics
  3. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-282A cloture vote concerning the motion to proceed to H.R. 3633 receives at least 60 yeas on or before 30 September 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-01Economic & Financial Markets
  4. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-281The median projection of the midpoint of the federal funds target range at the end of 2027, in the Summary of Economic Projections released 16 September 2026, in percent.locked · closes 2026-09-16Economic & Financial Markets
  5. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-280At least two members of the Federal Open Market Committee are recorded as voting against the monetary policy action in the FOMC statement of 16 September 2026.locked · closes 2026-09-16Economic & Financial Markets
  6. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-279The median projection of the midpoint of the federal funds target range at the end of 2026, in the Summary of Economic Projections released 16 September 2026, in percent.locked · closes 2026-09-16Economic & Financial Markets
  7. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-278The upper bound of the federal funds target range announced in the FOMC statement of 16 September 2026 is 4.00 percent.locked · closes 2026-09-16Economic & Financial Markets
  8. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-277The blanket special temporary authority granted to state, local, tribal and territorial agencies by FCC DA 26-656 on 2 July 2026 is renewed, extended, or replaced by a categorical or standing authorisation covering the same class of operations, with effect on or before 31 January 2027.locked · closes 2027-01-31Defense & Security
  9. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-276The Authorized Systems List or the Authorized Technologies List, or any portion of either identifying specific technology categories or specific systems, is published in a publicly readable form not requiring law-enforcement credentials, on or before 31 December 2026.locked · closes 2026-12-31Defense & Security
  10. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-275At least one mitigation action taken by a state, local, tribal or territorial law enforcement or correctional agency under its own authority at 6 U.S.C. 124n(a)(2), meaning conduct described at 6 U.S.C. 124n(b)(1)(C), (D) or (F) and not detection, warning or confiscation by hand, occurring anywhere in the United States between 18 and 28 September 2026 inclusive, is publicly reported by 31 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-31Defense & Security
  11. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-274The Treasury General Account exceeds $1.0 trillion on at least one business day in October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-31Economic & Financial Markets
  12. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-273The three-month Treasury bill closes at or above IORB on 31 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-31Economic & Financial Markets
  13. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-272The New York Fed schedule published in October provides for reserve-management purchases greater than zero for the mid-October to mid-November period.locked · closes 2026-10-14Economic & Financial Markets
  14. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-271DefiLlama reports total stablecoin market capitalization at or above $320 billion on 9 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-09Economic & Financial Markets
  15. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-270The OCC or FDIC publishes a final GENIUS implementing rule in the Federal Register by 31 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-31Economic & Financial Markets
  16. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-269September 2026 unemployment is at or above 4.2 percent.locked · closes 2026-10-02Economic & Financial Markets
  17. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-268August 2026 core PCE inflation is at or above 3.3 percent year over year.locked · closes 2026-09-30Economic & Financial Markets
  18. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-267The Legislative Yuan passes the 2027 central government general budget with the defence aggregate at or above NT$1.0 trillion on or before 31 December 2026.locked · closes 2027-01-31Political Risk & Governance
  19. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-266The Republic of China Ministry of National Defense reports at least 30 sorties of PLA aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defence Identification Zone on a single reporting day between 1 and 10 October 2026 inclusive.locked · closes 2026-10-11Political Risk & Governance
  20. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-265Representatives of the United States, Russia and Ukraine meet in the same room, each delegation including a qualifying senior official, in a meeting all three governments publicly acknowledge as trilateral, on or before 9 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-09Political Risk & Governance
  21. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-264The Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation credits United Russia with at least 300 of the 450 State Duma seats in its official determination of the results of the 18 to 20 September 2026 election.locked · closes 2026-10-05Political Risk & Governance
  22. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-263MOFCOM and GACC Announcement No. 18 of 2025 has not been suspended, repealed or superseded as of 10 November 2026.locked · closes 2026-11-10Mining & Manufacturing
  23. 2026-09-11ClaimCLM-2026-262MOFCOM or the White House announces, on or before 10 October 2026, an extension beyond 10 November 2026 of the suspension of MOFCOM and GACC Announcements 55, 56, 57 and 58 of 2025 and MOFCOM Announcements 61 and 62 of 2025.locked · closes 2026-10-10Mining & Manufacturing
  24. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-261A public United States Army or Capability Program Executive for Ammunition and Energetics statement, or a subsequent Department of War Inspector General or Government Accountability Office product, issued on or before 31 December 2026, states a 155mm load, assemble and pack rate of 63,000 rounds per month or more for any month up to and including November 2026.locked · closes 2026-12-31Defense & Security
  25. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-260Total Department of Defense contract obligations under Product Service Code group 13 for federal fiscal year 2026, read from USAspending.gov on 16 November 2026, will be 5.9 billion United States dollars, with an interval of 5.0 billion to 8.5 billion United States dollars.locked · closes 2026-11-16Defense & Security
  26. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-259The United States Army or the Capability Program Executive for Ammunition and Energetics publicly confirms, on or before 31 December 2026, that initial Grade A nitrocellulose production capability has been achieved at Radford Army Ammunition Plant.locked · closes 2026-12-31Defense & Security
  27. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-258The Haushaltsausschuss of the German Bundestag approves at least 20 defence procurement proposals of more than EUR 25 million between 14 September and 31 October 2026 inclusive.locked · closes 2026-11-07Defense & Security
  28. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-257Fiscal year 2026 Department of Defense contract obligations under Product Service Code 14xx (guided missiles) exceed $38.0 billion as reported by USAspending.gov.locked · closes 2026-12-15Defense & Security
  29. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-256Congress enacts a reconciliation measure providing at least $50 billion in new budget authority for the Department of Defense on or before 31 December 2026.locked · closes 2026-12-31Defense & Security
  30. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-255The Department of War announces at least one new Golden Dome, space based interceptor, or Missile Defense Agency SHIELD task order award in its daily contract announcements between 1 October and 15 November 2026 inclusive.locked · closes 2026-11-16Defense & Security
  31. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-254United States Central Command or the Department of War publicly announces the completion of the military mission of the Global Coalition to Defeat ISIS in Iraq on or before 30 September 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-05Defense & Security
  32. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-253A joint resolution of disapproval concerning the Saudi Arabia Joint Direct Attack Munitions Extended Range transmittal (26-35) or the AGT-1500 engines transmittal (26-68), both notified 4 September 2026, receives a recorded vote on the floor of the United States Senate on or before 9 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-09Defense & Security
  33. 2026-09-10ClaimCLM-2026-252The United States Senate holds a recorded cloture vote on a fiscal year 2027 National Defense Authorization Act measure on or before 9 October 2026.locked · closes 2026-10-09Defense & Security
  34. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-244Baseline is the most probable path.locked · closes 2026-10-28Economic & Financial Markets
  35. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-236Over 60 to 90 days the fastest adjustment channel is ownership and tenancy turnover, not rate relief.locked · closes 2026-10-28Economic & Financial Markets
  36. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-234Notices for hearings before 1 September arrive mid to late September.locked · closes 2026-09-30Economic & Financial Markets
  37. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-227The most probable twelve-month path is Baseline shading into Acceleration.locked · closes 2027-07-16Political Risk & Governance
  38. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-220The most probable twelve-month path is Baseline: partial, jurisdiction-bound deletion gains against a professionalizing threat, leaving the footprint decisive.locked · closes 2027-07-14Defense & Security
  39. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-208Across all three scenarios, the non-Chinese midstream does not displace China's lead within the 2026-to-2030 window; only Deterioration meaningfully worsens the buyer's position, and none closes the gap outright.locked · closes 2030-12-31Mining & Manufacturing
  40. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-205The gap is structural, not a financing gap in disguise, and will not close on a 2026 to 2028 horizon regardless of how much additional capital is announced in that window.locked · closes 2028-12-31Mining & Manufacturing
  41. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-202The realistic planning constraint for the next three years is construction and qualification lead time, not capital availability.locked · closes 2029-07-08Mining & Manufacturing
  42. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-200The decision-relevant measure is contracted, qualified midstream throughput and its delivery date; independent 2035 projections show the structural gap persisting on that measure regardless of how the mining picture evolves.locked · closes 2035-12-31Mining & Manufacturing
  43. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-191The most probable twelve-month path is Baseline, in which spending and disclosure keep rising while integration lags, leaving the seam open.locked · closes 2027-06-19Defense & Security
  44. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-178Baseline, rising spend against divided ownership, is the most probable path.locked · closes 2027-06-19Political Risk & Governance
  45. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-166Baseline, a slow rule-out with the gap intact, is the most probable twelve-month path.locked · closes 2027-06-19Defense & Security
  46. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-157The SAFER SKIES Act (December 2025) reauthorizes federal authority to 2031 and creates a first state and local mitigation pathway, but it is gated behind training, certification, and implementing rules due around June 2026. The door is open; the rulebook is late.open · due 2026-06-30Defense & Security
  47. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-148Baseline is the most probable 90 to 180 day path.locked · closes 2026-12-13Political Risk & Governance
  48. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-137Across all three scenarios the structural concentration of the West's seafloor footprint and the repair-fleet capacity constraint do not change on a 12-month horizon.locked · closes 2027-06-03Supply Chain & Logistics
  49. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-133We judge that this pattern, not state attribution, is what Western seafloor enforcement actually looks like over the next 12 months.locked · closes 2027-06-03Supply Chain & Logistics
  50. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-130The attribution gap is durable. Across five major incident clusters in four years, no Western investigation has produced a finalized public state-actor attribution, and the institutional and legal frameworks that would close the gap have not changed.locked · closes 2027-06-03Supply Chain & Logistics
  51. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-104Baseline and Deterioration both imply the discount widens; Stabilization implies it narrows. None imply it disappears.locked · closes 2027-06-03Political Risk & Governance
  52. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-081Authorizations from 2024 to 2025 convert to throughput in 2026 to 2028, not in the budget year. Today's appropriations do not fix today's magazine.locked · closes 2028-12-31Defense & Security
  53. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-079Even with FY2027-funded large-lot orders, Tomahawk first deliveries do not arrive until March 2030.locked · closes 2030-03-31Defense & Security
  54. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-078The single most acute single-source bottleneck in the US system is nitrocellulose at Radford Army Ammunition Plant, with the SRM duopoly a close second. Each carries a multi-year qualified-supplier path no supplemental appropriation can shortcut inside 24 months.locked · closes 2028-06-03Defense & Security
  55. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-068The lesson for the wider regime stack is that WTO remedies are not the operative deterrent against downstreaming mandates on a 12-month horizon.locked · closes 2027-06-03Mining & Manufacturing
  56. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-066A mid-term review or amendment cycle is more likely than not before 2028.locked · closes 2027-12-31Mining & Manufacturing
  57. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-064The 47-project March 2025 strategic list, the 40 percent processing benchmark by 2030, and the 65 percent single-source cap are not trajectory-consistent with current EU dependency shares on China.locked · closes 2030-12-31Mining & Manufacturing
  58. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-063The combined stack is durable on a 12-month horizon irrespective of any single bilateral negotiation or WTO action. Each regime is statutorily entrenched in a distinct legal system; the political consensus underwriting each spans more than one electoral cycle.locked · closes 2027-06-03Mining & Manufacturing
  59. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-053Across all three scenarios the corridor's structural cost base does not return to its January 2026 floor on a horizon shorter than two quarters.locked · closes 2026-12-01Supply Chain & Logistics
  60. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-040Baseline is the most likely twelve-month path.locked · closes 2027-05-26Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  61. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-031Across all three scenarios the structural chokepoint persists.locked · closes 2027-05-26Mining & Manufacturing
  62. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-030Even the IEA's diversification case has China supplying a majority of refined output for key minerals into the mid-2030s.locked · closes 2035-12-31Mining & Manufacturing
  63. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-024The November 2025 suspensions are tactical de-escalation, not structural relief. The licensing architecture, the case-by-case discretion, and the prohibition on exports to military end-users all remain in place.locked · closes 2026-11-30Mining & Manufacturing
  64. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-022Baseline is the most likely twelve-month path.locked · closes 2027-05-26Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  65. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-015Parametric policy language issued during the 2026 to 2031 NSRS transition window will need to specify which datum applies, with formal conversion provisions, or contractual triggers will drift from physical signals by the conversion offset. We expect this to become a standard policy-language addition by 2027.locked · closes 2027-12-31Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  66. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-013During the transition window between formal NAPGD2022 release and full FEMA flood-map conversion (an estimated five years), properties will be rated, surveyed, and elevation-certified under mixed datum vintages with conversion offsets handled jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction.locked · closes 2031-12-31Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  67. 2026-09-08ClaimCLM-2026-004Baseline is the most likely twelve-month path.locked · closes 2027-05-26Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  68. 2026-08-20ClaimCLM-2026-213The strongest deletion instrument yet built, California's DROP, becomes enforceable against brokers on August 1, 2026.resolved · TRUE · 2026-08-20Defense & Security
  69. 2026-08-20ClaimCLM-2026-187broker compliance becomes mandatory on a 45-day cycle from August 1, 2026.resolved · TRUE · 2026-08-20Defense & Security
  70. 2026-07-14ClaimCLM-2026-083The 100,000 target will be reached on the mid-2026 revised timeline barring a feedstock disruption; any further slippage will be the most visible public signal of the underlying NC and energetics pathology.resolved · FALSE · 2026-07-14Defense & Security
  71. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-251Democrats hold a House of Representatives majority per AP-called races as of 2026-11-10 (2026 midterm outcome).locked · closes 2026-11-10Political Risk & Governance
  72. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-250US CPI-U all items 12-month percent change for September 2026 (BLS CPI news release, mid-October 2026).locked · closes 2026-10-16Economic & Financial Markets
  73. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-249EIA Europe Brent spot price FOB (daily series RBRTE) for 2026-10-01, or the nearest prior published trading day, in dollars per barrel.locked · closes 2026-10-06Economic & Financial Markets
  74. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-248No PRC blockade, quarantine, or sustained kinetic fires against Taiwan is initiated on or before 2026-10-15 (the standoff holds through the window).locked · closes 2026-10-15Defense & Security
  75. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-247A US-Iran agreement (ceasefire, interim framework, or comprehensive deal) is publicly announced by both governments on or before 2026-09-30.locked · closes 2026-10-01Political Risk & Governance
  76. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-246The Strait of Hormuz is open to unrestricted commercial transit on 2026-10-01: no closure, no convoy/escort-only regime, and war-risk routing normalized (transits not materially restricted relative to pre-crisis operations).locked · closes 2026-10-01Supply Chain & Logistics
  77. 2026-07-09ClaimCLM-2026-245The federal funds target range standing at the conclusion of the September 2026 FOMC meeting (2026-09-17) is below 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent (i.e., the Committee has cut at the July or September meeting).locked · closes 2026-09-18Economic & Financial Markets

Series (44)

  1. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-SAN-OFAC-DELTAOFAC SDN list, daily deltaPolitical Risk & Governance
  2. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-WTIWTI CrudeEconomic & Financial Markets
  3. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-VIXVIXEconomic & Financial Markets
  4. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-NATGASNatural GasEconomic & Financial Markets
  5. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-GOLDGoldEconomic & Financial Markets
  6. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-DXYUS Dollar IndexEconomic & Financial Markets
  7. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-COPPERCopperEconomic & Financial Markets
  8. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-MKT-BRENTBrent CrudeEconomic & Financial Markets
  9. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-16EWI#16 Flood / drought disaster declarationsInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  10. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-15EWI#15 Volcanic / ashfall aviation alertsInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  11. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-14EWI#14 Active tropical cyclones on key lanesInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  12. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-13EWI#13 Significant earthquakes (M6.5+, 7-day)Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
  13. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-12EWI#12 Export-control escalation signalsPolitical Risk & Governance
  14. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-11EWI#11 Active high-intensity conflict zonesPolitical Risk & Governance
  15. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-10EWI#10 Sanctions designations (rolling 30-day)Political Risk & Governance
  16. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-09EWI#9 Global conflict event density (7-day)Political Risk & Governance
  17. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-08EWI#8 Equity volatility (VIX)Economic & Financial Markets
  18. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-07EWI#7 UST 2s10s curveEconomic & Financial Markets
  19. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-06EWI#6 Copper spot ($/lb)Economic & Financial Markets
  20. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-05EWI#5 Brent crude spot ($/bbl)Economic & Financial Markets
  21. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-04EWI#4 Cape of Good Hope reroute volumeSupply Chain & Logistics
  22. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-03EWI#3 Strait of Hormuz transit volumeSupply Chain & Logistics
  23. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-02EWI#2 Bab-el-Mandeb war-risk premiumSupply Chain & Logistics
  24. 2026-09-11SeriesSER-EWI-01EWI#1 Suez Canal 7-day transit volume vs baselineSupply Chain & Logistics
  25. 2026-09-10SeriesSER-MKT-UST10YUST 10Y YieldEconomic & Financial Markets
  26. 2026-09-10SeriesSER-MKT-SP500S&P 500Economic & Financial Markets
  27. 2026-09-10SeriesSER-MAC-T10YIE10Y BreakevenEconomic & Financial Markets
  28. 2026-09-10SeriesSER-MAC-T10Y2Y2s10s SpreadEconomic & Financial Markets
  29. 2026-09-09SeriesSER-MAC-IG_OASIG Credit OASEconomic & Financial Markets
  30. 2026-09-09SeriesSER-MAC-HY_OASHY Credit OASEconomic & Financial Markets
  31. 2026-09-09SeriesSER-MAC-DGS30UST 30YEconomic & Financial Markets
  32. 2026-09-09SeriesSER-MAC-DGS2UST 2YEconomic & Financial Markets
  33. 2026-09-09SeriesSER-MAC-DGS10UST 10YEconomic & Financial Markets
  34. 2026-09-09SeriesSER-MAC-DFII1010Y Real YieldEconomic & Financial Markets
  35. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-TAIWANTaiwanSupply Chain & Logistics
  36. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-SUEZ-CANALSuez CanalSupply Chain & Logistics
  37. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-STRAIT-OF-HORMUZStrait of HormuzSupply Chain & Logistics
  38. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-PANAMA-CANALPanama CanalSupply Chain & Logistics
  39. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-MALACCAMalaccaSupply Chain & Logistics
  40. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-CAPE-OF-GOOD-HOPECape of Good HopeSupply Chain & Logistics
  41. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-BOSPORUSBosporusSupply Chain & Logistics
  42. 2026-09-06SeriesSER-MAR-BAB-EL-MANDEBBab el-MandebSupply Chain & Logistics
  43. 2026-08-01SeriesSER-MAC-UNRATEUnemployment RateEconomic & Financial Markets
  44. 2026-07-01SeriesSER-MAC-CPICPI (All Urban)Economic & Financial Markets

Datasets (4)

  1. 2026-09-11DatasetPKG-ofac-deltaOFAC SDN delta seriesPolitical Risk & Governance
  2. 2026-09-11DatasetPKG-maritime-chokepointsMaritime chokepoint transitsSupply Chain & Logistics
  3. 2026-09-11DatasetPKG-macro-and-curveMacro, curve and market historyEconomic & Financial Markets
  4. 2026-09-11DatasetPKG-claims-ledgerThe public claim ledgerAll desks

Desks (6)

  1. 2026-09-11DeskDESK-supply-chainSupply Chain & LogisticsSupply Chain & Logistics
  2. 2026-09-11DeskDESK-political-riskPolitical Risk & GovernancePolitical Risk & Governance
  3. 2026-09-11DeskDESK-marketsEconomic & Financial MarketsEconomic & Financial Markets
  4. 2026-09-11DeskDESK-manufacturingMining & ManufacturingMining & Manufacturing
  5. 2026-09-11DeskDESK-defenseDefense & SecurityDefense & Security
  6. 2026-05-26DeskDESK-infrastructureInfrastructure & Catastrophe RiskInfrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
07 · HOW TO READ THIS PORTAL

Every object carries the same header band: its type, its identifier, the desk it belongs to, the dates it was created and last updated, its source and tier where a source applies, and the standard it was built to. The rules behind that band, and behind everything else on this site, are on the Methodology page. The Scorecard opens by explaining, for a reader who has never met the firm, what a claim is, what the probability means and how the score is kept: start there if the ledger is what you came for.