CLAIM · DEFENSE & SECURITY
“The blanket special temporary authority granted to state, local, tribal and territorial agencies by FCC DA 26-656 on 2 July 2026 is renewed, extended, or replaced by a categorical or standing authorisation covering the same class of operations, with effect on or before 31 January 2027.”
This claim comes from The Lead Agency Rule, published on 11 September 2026, and entered the ledger on 11 September 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.75 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 75 in 100. It resolves by 31 January 2027, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
0.75Locked probability
2027-01-31Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madeAIG-DEF-26-008, forward item DEF-1-C3; engine record AIG-FWD-0033
Window as stated2027-01-31
How it will be settledScores YES if a Federal Communications Commission release dated on or before 31 January 2027 does any of: extends or renews the DA 26-656 special temporary authority; grants a new special temporary authority to the same class of SLTT agencies for the same class of counter-UAS operations; or adopts a categorical, standing, blanket or rule-based authorisation permitting those operations. A grant to a single named agency, or to a group of named agencies rather than to the class, does NOT score YES. A part 2 equipment authorisation or waiver to a manufacturer does NOT score YES. Scores NO if the authority lapses on or about 29 December 2026 with no such instrument in effect by 31 January 2027, and NO if no relevant release is located.
Where the probability came fromApproved by Principal Zacharias Lorance with AIG-DEF-26-008; immutable engine record AIG-FWD-0033
Record classbrier native
Claim familythe-lead-agency-rule; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-09-11, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.