CLAIM · DEFENSE & SECURITY
“The Office of Foreign Assets Control designates at least one additional vessel under Iran-related sanctions authorities between 2026-10-11 and 2026-11-30.”
This claim comes from Iran After the Talks: Sanctions, Inspectors and Carriers, published on 11 October 2026, and entered the ledger on 11 October 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.80 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 80 in 100. It resolves by 1 December 2026, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
0.80Locked probability
2026-12-01Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madethe Outlook of the PMR "Iran After the Talks: Sanctions, Inspectors and Carriers"
Window as statedbetween 2026-10-11 and 2026-11-30
How it will be settledOFAC sanctions programs: YES if an OFAC recent action or Treasury press release dated from 2026-10-11 to 2026-11-30 inclusive adds at least one vessel to the SDN List under an Iran-related program or executive order; a vessel added under Executive Order 13224 or another counterterrorism authority also counts when the OFAC action or Treasury press release describes it as part of an Iranian oil, petroleum or shipping network, or of oil shipping by the IRGC or an Iran-backed group such as the Houthis; designations by the State Department alone do not count.
Where the probability came fromthe author's probability in the approved PMR
Record classbrier native
Claim familyiran-after-the-talks-sanctions-inspectors-and-carriers; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-10-11, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.