CLAIM · INFRASTRUCTURE & CATASTROPHE RISK
“FERC issues an order on the merits on at least one regional operator's response to its June 2026 large-load show cause orders by 31 December 2026.”
This claim comes from The Load Queue: Data Centers and America's Electricity Demand, published on 11 October 2026, and entered the ledger on 11 October 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.40 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 40 in 100, so the firm expected it not to hold. It resolves by 5 January 2027, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
0.40Locked probability
2027-01-05Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madethe Outlook of the PMR "The Load Queue: Data Centers and America's Electricity Demand"
Window as statedby 31 December 2026
How it will be settledFERC electronic library: YES if the library shows, dated on or before 2026-12-31, a Commission order in any of the six show cause dockets opened on 2026-06-18 that accepts, rejects or directs changes to a filed response or tariff revision on large-load interconnection; an order that only grants an extension, sets a procedure or corrects an error does not count; NO otherwise.
Where the probability came fromthe author's probability in the approved PMR
Record classbrier native
Claim familythe-load-queue-data-centers-and-america-s-electricity-demand; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-10-11, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.