CLAIM · DEFENSE & SECURITY
“broker compliance becomes mandatory on a 45-day cycle from August 1, 2026.”
This claim comes from The Protection Premium, published on 19 June 2026, and entered the ledger on 8 September 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.65 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 65 in 100. It resolves by 1 August 2026, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
resolvedStatus
0.65Locked probability
2026-08-01Resolves by
TRUEOutcome · 2026-08-20
0.1225Legacy-track contribution, excluded from headline score
Resolved means settled true or false. It was settled on 20 August 2026 by a public source at www.freshfields.com: A 20 August 2026 practitioner note records that data brokers' obligations to process deletion requests through the platform at least once every 45 days took effect on 1 August 2026, with the agency ramping up oversight.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madePDF p.9 (footer 8), Section 03 body (covered by KJ-5)
Window as statedfrom August 1, 2026
How it will be settledCalifornia Privacy Protection Agency DROP notices confirming the August 1, 2026 broker-compliance start and 45-day cycle
Where the probability came fromConfidence band MODERATE on the judgment, mapped by the Methodology forward-claim standard (chapter 08, fixed 2026-09-08)
Band in the reportMODERATE
Record classlegacy retrospective
Claim familyprincipal-protection; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleaudit-only. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-09-08, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.