SERIES · POLITICAL RISK & GOVERNANCE
EWI#11 Active high-intensity conflict zones
Early-warning indicator EWI#11 is defined against a threshold of No new zone escalation but has no live source yet; it stays GRAY until one is wired.
Reading and history
The latest value with its seven- and thirty-day change, the full history on file, and the last thirty observations as a table.
No live sourceReadingGRAY
No new zone escalationThreshold
ACLEDNamed source, not collected
The Dashboard says: No live source. The indicator is defined in the AEGEAN-OS M9 model (M9: Geopolitical EWI), read on a daily cadence when wired, and stays GRAY rather than carrying an estimate.
No chart. A chart here would be an estimate, and the indicator has no live source. The named source stays on the record so the gap is visible.
About this series
Where the readings come from, how the source is graded, how often it updates, and what to bear in mind.
SourceACLED
On the Dashboard: Early Warning tab
On the Dashboard: Early Warning tab
TierNot graded: the source is named but not collected
CadenceDaily, computed by the AEGEAN-OS M9 model from the Dashboard feeds; nothing is backfilled.
PathwayM9: Geopolitical EWI
CaveatsThresholds are the firm's, per the M9 model, and may be revised; a revision changes future readings only. A GRAY indicator has no live source and is shown so the coverage gap is visible.
Download and cite
The package this series ships in, its checksum, and the citation line.
Packageewi-history · version 2026-10-28
SHA-256 of data.csv
b5b3099d28231634b9d514ab5de7da90e4f832c940efb96537efcc60c843b394Aegean Intelligence Group, "Early-warning indicator history", series EWI#11 Active high-intensity conflict zones (SER-EWI-11), open data package ewi-history, version 2026-10-28, aegeanintel.com/data/series/ewi-11/. Free to use with attribution; no warranty.
Claims that resolve against this series
Forward claims on the ledger whose outcome is read from these values.
No claim on the ledger resolves against this series yet.