CLAIM · ECONOMIC & FINANCIAL MARKETS
“EIA reports Lower 48 working gas in storage for the week ending 2026-10-30 above the five-year average.”
This claim comes from Rise of North American Energy Dominance, published on 29 September 2026, and entered the ledger on 29 September 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.80 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 80 in 100. It resolves by 5 November 2026, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
0.80Locked probability
2026-11-05Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madethe Outlook of the PMR "Rise of North American Energy Dominance"
Window as statedfor the week ending 2026-10-30
How it will be settledEnergy Information Administration: Yes if the Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report released on or about 2026-11-05 shows total Lower 48 working gas greater than the five-year average stated in the same release; otherwise No.
Where the probability came fromthe author's probability in the approved PMR
Record classbrier native
Claim familyrise-of-north-american-energy-dominance; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-09-29, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.