SERIES · POLITICAL RISK & GOVERNANCE
EWI#9 Global conflict event density (7-day)
Early-warning indicator EWI#9 is defined against a threshold of Within 1σ of trailing mean but has no live source yet; it stays GRAY until one is wired.
Reading and history
The latest value with its seven- and thirty-day change, the full history on file, and the last thirty observations as a table.
No live sourceReadingGRAY
Within 1σ of trailing meanThreshold
GDELT / ACLEDNamed source, not collected
The Dashboard says: No live source. The indicator is defined in the AEGEAN-OS M9 model (M9: Geopolitical EWI), read on a daily cadence when wired, and stays GRAY rather than carrying an estimate.
No chart. A chart here would be an estimate, and the indicator has no live source. The named source stays on the record so the gap is visible.
About this series
Where the readings come from, how the source is graded, how often it updates, and what to bear in mind.
SourceGDELT / ACLED
On the Dashboard: Early Warning tab
On the Dashboard: Early Warning tab
TierNot graded: the source is named but not collected
CadenceDaily, computed by the AEGEAN-OS M9 model from the Dashboard feeds; nothing is backfilled.
PathwayM9: Geopolitical EWI
CaveatsThresholds are the firm's, per the M9 model, and may be revised; a revision changes future readings only. A GRAY indicator has no live source and is shown so the coverage gap is visible.
Download and cite
The package this series ships in, its checksum, and the citation line.
The package is not published yet. The early-warning history packages itself as
ewi-history once seven daily lines exist (5 of 7 collected). Until then the daily file the Dashboard reads is served as is at ewi_history.jsonl, without a checksum or a citation line.Claims that resolve against this series
Forward claims on the ledger whose outcome is read from these values.
No claim on the ledger resolves against this series yet.