CLAIM · DEFENSE & SECURITY
“The strongest deletion instrument yet built, California's DROP, becomes enforceable against brokers on August 1, 2026.”
This claim comes from The Footprint Before the Threat, published on 14 July 2026, and entered the ledger on 8 September 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.85 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 85 in 100. It resolves by 1 August 2026, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
resolvedStatus
0.85Locked probability
2026-08-01Resolves by
TRUEOutcome · 2026-08-20
0.0225Legacy-track contribution, excluded from headline score
Resolved means settled true or false. It was settled on 20 August 2026 by a public source at www.freshfields.com: A 20 August 2026 practitioner note records that the platform's deletion obligations on registered data brokers took effect on 1 August 2026.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madePDF p.4 (footer 3), KJ-4
Window as statedAugust 1, 2026
How it will be settledCPPA confirmation that DROP broker-compliance obligations took effect August 1, 2026; state broker-registry counts (EFF/PRC analysis)
Where the probability came fromConfidence band HIGH on the judgment, mapped by the Methodology forward-claim standard (chapter 08, fixed 2026-09-08)
Band in the reportHIGH
Record classlegacy retrospective
Claim familyprincipal-digital-exposure; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleaudit-only. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-09-08, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.