Aegean Intelligence Group
Aegean Research · Coverage Atlas

Decision-grade intelligence, organized by domain.

We publish to operators making capital, routing, regulatory, and security decisions in uncertain environments. Every brief is structured, cited, and confidence-calibrated to AEGEAN-OS v1.3 discipline. Six coverage domains. One methodology. New briefs publish regularly.

6
Coverage domains
15
Briefs published
620+
Approved sources
v1.3
AEGEAN-OS methodology
Featured brief · This week
Coverage Atlas

Six domains. One methodology.

Active: 6 domains · 18 briefs
Building: 0 domains
01 · Maritime & Shipping
Active
Maritime & Shipping

Chokepoint risk, corridor economics, and the institutional architecture (insurance, sanctions, naval posture) that prices them.

Monitoring
PGSA tariff perimeter · US-Iran MOU signature window · JWC Listed Areas quarterly review
Recent
1 brief published
02 · Critical Minerals
Active
Critical Minerals & Industrial Inputs

Midstream concentration over mining share. Where the binding constraint actually sits, and which decisions have windows closing.

Monitoring
April 2025 rare-earth licensing window · Nov 2026 suspension expiry · DoD-MP magnet build
Recent
2 briefs published
04 · Defense & Security Intelligence
Active
Defense & Security Intelligence

Defense industrial base, force-employment economics, sanctions architecture, alliance posture, and the magazine-depth arithmetic that underwrites every contingency.

Monitoring
100K-per-month 155mm declaration window · Tomahawk lead-time disclosure · PAC-3 2030 framework progress · FY27 large-lot procurement awards
Recent
7 briefs published
05 · Blockchain & Financial Markets
Active
Blockchain & Financial Markets

Sovereign and parastatal use of digital assets, the supervisory perimeter on private dollar issuance, and the tokenised exposure traditional risk frameworks miss.

Monitoring
April 2026 TIC release (2026-06-18) · OCC NPR final rule · HKMA first stablecoin licence batch · MiCA EMT authorisations
Recent
2 briefs published
06 · Governance & Geopolitical Structures
Active
Governance & Geopolitical Structures

Regime durability, succession risk, the legal architecture of investor protection, and the geopolitical realignments that shape every other exposure.

Monitoring
Venezuela OFAC license review · ICJ Essequibo judgment · Wave 3 ISDS rulings · new BIT denunciations · junta-era mining-code finalisation
Recent
3 briefs published
Briefs Index

Everything published, in one place.

Updated 2026-07-28 · 18 briefs live
PMR-2026-0716-USA-001
The Field Before the RFPA federal competition is largely decided before the RFP publishes. How to read the field from the public record, and the capture baseline to hold before you bid.
Defense & Security
2026-07-16
Read →
PMR-2026-0714-USA-001
The Footprint Before the ThreatA principal’s targeting package can be assembled from open sources alone. What brokers, breaches, and family feeds expose, and the baseline that closes it.
Defense & Security
2026-07-14
Read →
PMR-2026-0708-GLOBAL-001
The Rare-Earth MidstreamChina's rare-earth advantage sits in refining and magnet-making, not mining. The buildout underway will not close the structural gap before 2030.
Critical Minerals
2026-07-08
Read →
PMR-USA-002
The Protection PremiumExecutive and principal security became a priced, disclosed function. The threat moved to the data layer, where breaches and brokers assemble a target. No one owns the seam.
Defense & Security
2026-06-19
Read →
PMR-USA-003
The Authority GapDrone incursions are routine over US bases, prisons, airports, and stadiums, but until December 2025 only four federal agencies could lawfully stop one. The gap is the market.
Defense & Security
2026-06-19
Read →
PMR-GLBL-006
Who Owns the Risk?Physical, cyber, and insider threats merged into one surface; accountability did not. The binding constraint is no longer spend or tooling. It is ownership.
Defense & Security
2026-06-19
Read →
PMR-VEN-001
Venezuela After MaduroThe reversible opening: sanctions relief you can lose, an asset base already pledged to prior creditors, and the Essequibo border risk on the region's fastest-growing oil province.
Governance & Geopolitical
2026-06-16
Read →
PMR-GLBL-003
The Attribution GapHow the West's subsea infrastructure became a politically costless target. Five incident clusters, zero finalized state-actor attributions, and the repair-fleet constraint no one has re-priced.
Defense & Security
2026-06-03
Read →
PMR-GLBL-004
The Tokenised Treasury MigrationBUIDL, Franklin BENJI, Apollo ACRED, and the transfer agent doing the quiet work behind the migration. The binding stress vector runs through the qualified custodian.
Blockchain & Financial Markets
2026-06-03
Read →
PMR-GLBL-005
The Critical Mineral Export Control StackFour simultaneous regimes (MOFCOM, CRMA, US BIS FDPR, Indonesian downstreaming) binding distinct choke points on overlapping commodity chains.
Governance & Geopolitical Structures
2026-06-03
Read →
PMR-USA-001
The Western Munitions BottleneckHow single-source feedstock and five-prime concentration cap the magazine at 30 to 60 days. Today's appropriations do not fix today's magazine.
Defense & Security
2026-06-03
Read →
PMR-GLBL-001
Stablecoin Treasury LinkageWhen private issuers become sovereign creditors and the transmission channel runs through the deposit bank.
Blockchain & Financial Markets
2026-06-03
Read →
PMR-GLBL-002
Resource Nationalism Wave 3.0The indemnification regime has become politically negotiable, and the capital-exporting bloc is withdrawing.
Governance & Geopolitical Structures
2026-06-03
Read →
PMR-MEAST-002
The Re-Priced CorridorSovereign transit authority, the $40B backstop no one is using, and what the Hormuz reopening actually costs.
Maritime & Shipping
2026-06-01
Read →
PMR-GLOBAL-001
Critical Minerals Under PressureChina's export controls and the race for alternative supply. Where Western supply chains actually break.
Critical Minerals
2026-05-26
Read →
PMR-GLOBAL-002
When the Models Met RealityCatastrophe repricing, carrier retreat, and the public balance sheet absorbing what private capital is shedding.
Insurance & Climate Capital
2026-05-26
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PMR-GLOBAL-003
The Uninsurable FrontierCat bonds, parametric, and ILS pricing the peak peril traditional reinsurance is shedding. A record cat-bond market.
Insurance & Climate Capital
2026-05-26
Read →
PMR-GLOBAL-004
The Ground Underneath the MapThe flood-map regime rests on a reference frame the geodetic agencies are actively rebuilding. End of 2026, every elevation moves.
Insurance & Climate Capital
2026-05-26
Read →
Methodology

The discipline behind every brief.

Aegean Intelligence Group operates to a structured analytical framework adapted from intelligence-community tradecraft and refined for commercial decision support. Every brief is audited against this framework before release. Three content types, four source tiers, three confidence levels, four risk-velocity classes, an explicit anti-fabrication perimeter, and a seventeen-module collection model.

01
Content type discipline. Every sentence is one of three: FACT (sourced), ASSESSMENT (confidence-tagged), RECOMMENDATION (anchored). Never blended.
02
Source tier discipline. T1 government primaries weighted highest. State media is a claim source only. Every cited source carries a tier.
03
Confidence calibration. HIGH / MODERATE / LOW with a one-line rationale. Gaps are documented, never papered over.

Need this discipline applied to a decision you're facing?

Aegean Intelligence Group builds custom intelligence engagements for leadership teams operating in uncertain environments. Packages run from one-week assessments to ongoing monitoring retainers, each scoped to the decision and the time horizon.