CLAIM · ECONOMIC & FINANCIAL MARKETS
“The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation publishes a final rule implementing the GENIUS Act requirements and standards for FDIC-supervised permitted payment stablecoin issuers in the Federal Register on or before 10 January 2027.”
This claim comes from The Agent Economy: Paid Research and Data for AI Agents, 2026 to 2027, published on 12 October 2026, and entered the ledger on 12 October 2026. The firm put a probability of 0.40 on it: the chance the firm put on it being true, fixed when it was locked, about 40 in 100, so the firm expected it not to hold. It resolves by 10 January 2027, only against a dated public source.
This call, in time
Written and locked12 Oct
Resolves by10 Jan
Today
On the Economic & Financial Markets Horizon
From the reportThe Agent Economy: Paid Research and Data for AI Agents, 2026 to 202712 October 2026 · AIG-BLK-26-008Its sibling calls
- CLM-2026-409The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency publishes a final rule implementing the GENIUS Act for OCC-supervised payment stablecoin issuers in the Federal Register on or before 10 January 2027.65% · resolves in 90 d
- CLM-2026-411The total stablecoin market capitalisation on the DefiLlama stablecoins dashboard is at or above 300 billion USD for 31 December 2026.65% · resolves in 85 d
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
0.40Locked probability
2027-01-10Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madethe Outlook of the PMR "The Agent Economy: Paid Research and Data for AI Agents, 2026 to 2027"
Window as statedon or before 10 January 2027
How it will be settledFederal Register: YES if a rule document issued by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation that finalises its GENIUS Act requirements and standards for FDIC-supervised permitted payment stablecoin issuers, the subject of its April 2026 proposal, as a final rule or an interim final rule, appears in the Federal Register with a publication date on or before 2027-01-10; a final rule on application procedures alone does not count, nor does a proposed rule; otherwise NO.
Where the probability came fromthe author's probability in the approved PMR
Record classbrier native
Claim familythe-agent-economy-paid-research-and-data-for-ai-agents-2026; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-10-12, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.