CLAIM · INFRASTRUCTURE & CATASTROPHE RISK
“The December 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook forecast of total US electricity consumption in 2027.”
This claim comes from The Load Queue: Data Centers and America's Electricity Demand, published on 11 October 2026, and entered the ledger on 11 October 2026. The firm locked a range of 4310 to 4400 billion kWh with a central estimate of 4355; a range item is scored by whether the published figure lands inside the band, outside the Brier rule. It resolves by 18 December 2026, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
4310 to 4400 billion kWh (central 4355)Locked range
2026-12-18Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madethe Outlook of the PMR "The Load Queue: Data Centers and America's Electricity Demand"
Window as stated18 Dec 2026
How it will be settledEnergy Information Administration: the forecast of total US electricity consumption for 2027 in the December 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook, in billion kWh, as first published, whatever the method.
Where the probability came fromLocked range of record from the approved PMR; scored by interval coverage, outside the Brier rule
Record classbrier native
Claim familythe-load-queue-data-centers-and-america-s-electricity-demand; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-10-11, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.