CLAIM · SUPPLY CHAIN & LOGISTICS

“The Baltic Exchange TD3C round-trip time charter equivalent for the 270,000 mt Middle East Gulf to China route, as published in the Baltic Exchange weekly tanker report dated 9 October 2026, will be $690,000 per day, within an interval of $320,000 to $1,020,000 per day.”

This claim comes from $700,000 a Day, published on 14 September 2026, and entered the ledger on 14 September 2026. The firm locked a range of 320000 to 1.02e+06 US dollars per day, round-trip time charter equivalent for the standard Baltic VLCC with a central estimate of 690000; a range item is scored by whether the published figure lands inside the band, outside the Brier rule. It resolves by 9 October 2026, only against a dated public source.

This call, in time

Written and locked14 Sep

Did not come true10 Oct

Today

On the Supply Chain & Logistics Horizon

From the report$700,000 a Day14 September 2026 · AIG-SCL-26-003

Its sibling calls

CLM-2026-288Conditional on the governments of the United States and Iran both publicly announcing an agreement covering the Strait of Hormuz on or before 15 November 2026, the first Baltic Exchange TD3C round-trip time charter equivalent assessment published on or after the fourteenth day following that announcement will be at least 25 percent below the last Baltic Exchange TD3C round-trip time charter equivalent assessment published before the announcement date.85% · resolves in 48 d

Status

Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.

resolvedStatus

320000 to 1.02e+06 US dollars per day, round-trip time charter equivalent for the standard Baltic VLCC (central 690000)Locked range

2026-10-09Resolves by

FALSEOutcome · 2026-10-10

Resolved means settled true or false. It was settled on 10 October 2026 by a public source at www.balticexchange.com: TD3C (270,000mt Middle East Gulf to China) climbed 115 points to WS1,318.75, which gives a daily round-trip TCE of $1,412,594 for the standard Baltic VLCC

Extraction and settlement

Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.

Where it was madeAIG-SCL-26-003, forward item SCL4-C1; engine record BRIER-FWD-0043

Window as stated2026-10-09

How it will be settledResolve on the round-trip time charter equivalent figure the Baltic Exchange publishes for route TD3C, defined by the Baltic Exchange as 270,000 mt Middle East Gulf to China, in its weekly tanker report dated Friday 9 October 2026, and on no other publication. The scorer must use the Baltic Exchange's own assessment. Time charter equivalents published for TD3C, TD2 or any other route by The Signal Group, by Alibra Shipping, by any other broker, or by any reprinting outlet do not resolve this claim. Reading path. The reading path the cell has used is the Baltic Exchange free weekly roundup page named above. If that page is unreadable on the day, or serves no report content, resolve on a reprint that both attributes the figure to the Baltic Exchange and states the same report date; the reprints the cell has actually used are The Daily Cargo News (https://www.thedcn.com.au/news) and Cyprus Shipping News (https://cyprusshippingnews.com), and either resolves the claim on those two conditions. If the Baltic report of 9 October 2026 states the TD3C round-trip TCE as an approximation (for example just under or just over a stated figure), take the stated figure. If the Baltic publishes no report dated 9 October 2026, or publishes one carrying no TD3C round-trip TCE line, resolve on the next Baltic weekly tanker report after 9 October 2026 that carries one, and record the substitution. Score a HIT if the published figure falls within $320,000 to $1,020,000 per day inclusive; score a MISS if it falls outside. Record the absolute and percentage error of the published figure against the central value of $690,000 per day.

Where the probability came fromLocked interval approved with AIG-SCL-26-003; immutable engine record BRIER-FWD-0043; outside the Brier rule

Record classbrier native

Claim family700000-a-day; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.

Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.

Extracted2026-09-14, against the forward-claim standard

The series it resolves against

The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.

This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.