CLAIM · SUPPLY CHAIN & LOGISTICS
“The composite of Drewry's World Container Index in the assessment dated 26 November 2026 will be about USD 3,800 per 40ft container.”
This claim comes from Box Rates into Lunar New Year: the Container Market's Last Quarter, published on 9 October 2026, and entered the ledger on 9 October 2026. The firm locked a range of 3100 to 4600 USD with a central estimate of 3800; a range item is scored by whether the published figure lands inside the band, outside the Brier rule. It resolves by 27 November 2026, only against a dated public source.
Status
Where the claim stands on the ledger, the probability the firm locked, and the dates that govern it.
lockedStatus
3100 to 4600 USD (central 3800)Locked range
2026-11-27Resolves by
Locked means recorded and waiting. Its window is still running. Nothing in a locked claim is edited after the fact.
Extraction and settlement
Where the sentence came from, and the public source that decides it.
Where it was madethe Outlook of the PMR "Box Rates into Lunar New Year: the Container Market's Last Quarter"
Window as stated27 Nov 2026
How it will be settledDrewry: the figure is the composite of Drewry's World Container Index in the assessment dated 26 November 2026, in USD per 40ft container, as first published, whatever the method; if no assessment carries that date, the first one published after it counts.
Where the probability came fromLocked range of record from the approved PMR; scored by interval coverage, outside the Brier rule
Record classbrier native
Claim familybox-rates-into-lunar-new-year-the-container-market-s-last; used to avoid presenting related claims as independent trials.
Learning roleoperational. Holdout claims may score publicly but never train the Learning Loop.
Extracted2026-10-09, against the forward-claim standard
The series it resolves against
The data series, if any, whose values settle the outcome.
This claim names no series the Dashboard carries; it resolves against the public source recorded with it.