Intelligence
The Oracle.
The Oracle is AEIG's predictive analysis engine. Here is what it watches, the calls it has made and the data behind them.
Every spoke is one call, colored by its domain. Its length is how far ahead it looked. Point at one to read it.
Updated 28 October 2026
Research by domain
Six domains.
Each domain holds its reports and its calls. Every call names the source that will settle it.
Defense & Security
10 reports · 28 calls waiting
Infrastructure & Catastrophe Risk
9 reports · 23 calls waiting
Mining & Manufacturing
10 reports · 35 calls waiting
Economic & Financial Markets
12 reports · 37 calls waiting
Political Risk & Governance
12 reports · 36 calls waiting
Supply Chain & Logistics
10 reports · 27 calls waiting
Calls in motion
Locked, and graded.
The newest calls on the record and the latest to be graded. Each was locked with a probability or a range before its outcome was known.
Newest locked
- 31 DecThe closing price of the most-active lithium carbonate futures contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange on 31 December 2026.range · in 64 d
- 31 JanCATL resumes ore mining at the Jianxiawo lithium mine on or before 31 January 2027.45% · in 95 d
- 31 DecThe Yichun Municipal Ecology and Environment Bureau issues its final approval of the environmental impact report for the Jianxiawo lithium mine on or before 31 December 2026.80% · in 64 d
- 31 DecPJM publishes the results of its base residual auction for the 2029/2030 delivery year on or before 31 December 2026.90% · in 64 d
- 31 DecThe shortfall of capacity cleared in PJM's base residual auction for the 2029/2030 delivery year, with fixed resource requirement commitments, against that auction's reliability requirement, in MW.range · in 64 d
- 27 NovThe advance estimate of US retail inventories for October 2026 is less than 6.0 percent above October 2025.80% · in 30 d
- 17 NovThe US total business inventories to sales ratio for September 2026 is 1.37 or lower.85% · in 20 d
- 17 NovIn the advance retail sales release for October 2026, the twelve-month growth of retail and food services sales excluding gasoline stations is at least 1.0 percentage point below the twelve-month growth of total retail and food services sales.75% · in 20 d
Recently graded
- 28 OctUS goods imports for September 2026 in the Census Bureau's advance report are USD 320.0 billion or more.75% · came true
- 28 OctUS Gulf of Mexico shut-in oil production falls below 5% of output by 23 October 2026.60% · came true
- 16 OctTotal Fed industrial production for September 2026 is unchanged or higher than in August.55% · came true
- 16 OctFed manufacturing output for September 2026 is unchanged or higher than in August.60% · came true
- 16 OctUS CPI-U all items 12-month percent change for September 2026 (BLS CPI news release, mid-October 2026).range · came true
- 16 OctNotices for hearings before 1 September arrive mid to late September.85% · came true
- 15 OctEuro area industrial production for August 2026 is higher than in July.65% · did not
- 15 OctThe New York Fed schedule published in October provides for reserve-management purchases greater than zero for the mid-October to mid-November period.70% · did not
The catalog
Everything the firm publishes, watches and scores.
Every report, brief, call, series and dataset in one place. Search it, filter it by type or domain and open any entry. Updated 28 October 2026.